Floor area and sale price

Sale prices against floor area, on a market that includes 700-square-foot starters and 4,500-square-foot custom builds. The mean rises with size, and so does the spread. A 4,000-sqft house has a lot more room to be cheap or expensive than a 700-sqft one does. A straight line can only report the slope.

Penalized splines fit by REML in Rust, compiled to WASM and loaded on demand. Switching family or dataset refits in the tab; there is no model server behind this. -> glissando

-- A line averages a market that scatters very differently at each scale, so it sits off the data at the small end and off it again at the large end.

Normal GAM bends to the mean, but holds spread constant across the whole market. The gray band is the same width at 800 sqft as it is at 4,000.

Gamma GAMLSS lets the spread ride along with the mean. The orange band fans out at the high end where prices vary a lot, and tightens at the low end where they don't.

source glissando/fugue